North Carolina vs NY Cosmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
32.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Carolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
EDM
3 - 0
CAR
47%
25%
28%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2015 |
JAC
3 - 0
CAR
32%
27%
41%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 1
TAM
60%
21%
19%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
OTT
2 - 1
CAR
34%
28%
38%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
CAR
3 - 2
SAN
54%
23%
23%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
NY Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
NYC
2 - 1
SAN
56%
24%
20%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
FOR
3 - 3
NYC
31%
28%
41%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2015 |
NYC
2 - 1
MIN
46%
26%
29%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
NYC
2 - 0
FOR
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
IND
1 - 1
NYC
33%
28%
39%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |