North Carolina vs Northern Colorado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
31.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
63
1º
5º
2º
62
1º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Carolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
RIC
1 - 3
CAR
39%
26%
36%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 1
GTR
41%
25%
33%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2023 |
RIC
2 - 2
CAR
43%
26%
32%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
TOR
2 - 3
CAR
49%
24%
27%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
CRW
1 - 2
CAR
39%
25%
35%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Northern Colorado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2023 |
TOR
2 - 2
NCO
42%
26%
32%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
NCO
0 - 0
GTR
51%
25%
24%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
NCO
2 - 3
OMA
48%
26%
26%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
NCO
3 - 4
LSC
85%
11%
4%
|
58 | 21 | 37 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
CHA
4 - 1
NCO
39%
27%
34%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |