North Carolina vs Northern Colorado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
41.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
63
1º
5º
2º
62
1º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Carolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 4
SUN
11%
19%
70%
|
48 | 77 | 29 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 2
FMA
44%
26%
30%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
OKS
2 - 2
CAR
42%
26%
33%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 0
CHA
31%
26%
43%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 2
LSC
86%
10%
4%
|
47 | 18 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Northern Colorado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
NCO
3 - 1
RIC
51%
26%
23%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
NCO
2 - 0
OMA
48%
27%
25%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
OKS
2 - 4
NCO
29%
26%
45%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
CRW
1 - 1
NCO
31%
26%
44%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2023 |
NCO
3 - 2
CHA
49%
26%
25%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |