North Carolina vs New England Revolution II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
34.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Carolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 3
OMA
34%
26%
40%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
RIC
0 - 0
CAR
46%
26%
29%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 0
FMA
37%
25%
38%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
NOT
4 - 0
CAR
62%
21%
17%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 4
CRW
39%
25%
36%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
New England Revolution II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2021 |
NER
1 - 1
TOR
50%
25%
25%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2021 |
NER
1 - 2
TUC
48%
25%
27%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
TOR
1 - 1
NER
35%
26%
40%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
RIC
2 - 2
NER
34%
26%
41%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2021 |
NER
3 - 0
CAR
42%
26%
32%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |