North Carolina vs CF Montréal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
29.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Carolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 2
PRI
58%
24%
19%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
CAR
1 - 1
PRI
40%
27%
33%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2010 |
PRI
2 - 0
CAR
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2010 |
CAR
2 - 0
MON
40%
27%
33%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2010 |
MON
1 - 0
CAR
43%
29%
29%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
CF Montréal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
TAM
1 - 0
MON
31%
27%
42%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2010 |
CAR
2 - 0
MON
40%
27%
33%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2010 |
MON
1 - 0
CAR
43%
29%
29%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
AUS
2 - 3
MON
34%
27%
39%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2010 |
MON
2 - 0
AUS
51%
28%
22%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | +1 |