North Carolina vs Minnesota United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
15.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Carolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
EDM
1 - 1
CAR
26%
27%
46%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2013 |
CAR
3 - 1
CHI
60%
21%
19%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 1
TAM
57%
23%
20%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
FOR
1 - 1
CAR
30%
26%
44%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 0
GAL
30%
25%
46%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | +2 |
Matches
Minnesota United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
MIN
2 - 1
FOR
48%
26%
27%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 0
MIN
43%
26%
31%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
TAM
2 - 3
MIN
54%
24%
23%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2013 |
MIN
0 - 1
DES
66%
20%
14%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
MIN
2 - 3
TAM
40%
28%
32%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |