North Carolina vs Minnesota United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
15.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Carolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
PRI
2 - 0
CAR
37%
27%
36%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
FOR
2 - 1
CAR
22%
27%
51%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 0
ATL
74%
17%
9%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
CAR
4 - 1
EDM
64%
23%
14%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2011 |
EDM
1 - 1
CAR
37%
28%
35%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Minnesota United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
TAM
2 - 0
MIN
46%
25%
29%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2011 |
MIN
0 - 1
FOR
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
MON
1 - 3
MIN
40%
29%
31%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
MIN
1 - 0
MON
41%
28%
31%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2011 |
MIN
0 - 1
PRI
42%
27%
31%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |