NASL - One League Semi-finals
Global 4-4
North Carolina vs Minnesota United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
18.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Carolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
MIN
1 - 0
CAR
30%
28%
42%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 2
MIN
65%
21%
14%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | -2 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
PRI
1 - 0
CAR
39%
27%
34%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
MON
1 - 0
CAR
29%
29%
42%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2011 |
FOR
1 - 0
CAR
23%
27%
51%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Minnesota United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
MIN
1 - 0
CAR
30%
28%
42%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
TAM
0 - 1
MIN
51%
25%
25%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 2
MIN
65%
21%
14%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
TAM
1 - 1
MIN
53%
24%
23%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
MIN
2 - 0
ATL
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |