North Carolina vs Memphis 901 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
13.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Carolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2020 |
CAR
2 - 3
MEM
71%
18%
12%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
CHA
3 - 1
CAR
38%
26%
36%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2020 |
BLE
1 - 2
CAR
40%
27%
33%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2020 |
CHA
1 - 0
CAR
37%
26%
37%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2020 |
CAR
0 - 3
CHA
63%
21%
16%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Memphis 901
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2020 |
CAR
2 - 3
MEM
71%
18%
12%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
MEM
1 - 1
BLE
29%
26%
45%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2020 |
MEM
0 - 2
CHA
40%
24%
36%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2020 |
BLE
2 - 2
MEM
57%
24%
19%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2020 |
CHA
3 - 2
MEM
60%
21%
19%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |