North Carolina vs Indy Eleven analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
26.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Carolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
MEM
3 - 0
CAR
43%
25%
32%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
CAR
5 - 0
ORS
54%
23%
23%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
CAR
4 - 6
LOU
30%
26%
43%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
ARI
0 - 0
CAR
40%
26%
34%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
USA
1 - 0
CAR
38%
26%
37%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Indy Eleven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
IND
3 - 1
EPL
60%
24%
16%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
HAA
0 - 0
IND
20%
23%
57%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
IND
1 - 1
PIT
36%
29%
36%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
KCW
2 - 0
IND
79%
14%
7%
|
61 | 83 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
LVG
3 - 2
IND
29%
25%
46%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |