North Carolina vs Indy Eleven analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
30.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
+87%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Carolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
IND
2 - 0
CAR
49%
25%
26%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2017 |
CAR
2 - 3
HOD
25%
24%
51%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
NYC
2 - 2
CAR
68%
19%
13%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
CAR
0 - 1
NYC
28%
27%
46%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2017 |
CAR
4 - 1
CHA
55%
21%
24%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Indy Eleven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
IND
2 - 0
CAR
49%
25%
26%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
IND
1 - 4
JAC
57%
24%
19%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
SFD
2 - 2
IND
54%
25%
21%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
EDM
2 - 1
IND
32%
28%
40%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
IND
0 - 2
MIA
46%
26%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |