North Carolina vs Greenville Triumph analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
37.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Carolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 0
TOR
51%
23%
26%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
OMA
4 - 1
CAR
60%
23%
17%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2021 |
TUC
0 - 2
CAR
58%
23%
19%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
CAR
2 - 3
CRW
35%
26%
39%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
TOR
3 - 0
CAR
48%
24%
28%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Greenville Triumph
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
GTR
0 - 0
CRW
43%
28%
29%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
GTR
1 - 0
NER
47%
26%
28%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
OMA
0 - 1
GTR
50%
27%
24%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
GTR
1 - 0
IMI
55%
24%
21%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
FMA
1 - 1
GTR
39%
28%
34%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |