North Carolina vs Greenville Triumph analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
34.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Carolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
CAR
2 - 1
CHA
41%
24%
35%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 1
CHA
48%
23%
29%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2021 |
CHA
2 - 1
CAR
52%
23%
25%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
CAR
0 - 1
CHA
52%
23%
25%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
NYO
0 - 3
CAR
44%
24%
32%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Greenville Triumph
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2021 |
GTR
4 - 0
NOT
37%
28%
35%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
RIC
0 - 1
GTR
30%
27%
44%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
GTR
2 - 1
CHA
43%
23%
34%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
LOU
4 - 2
GTR
53%
21%
26%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
ORL
1 - 4
GTR
18%
25%
58%
|
57 | 35 | 22 | 0 |