North Carolina vs Fuego FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
14.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
63
1º
5º
2º
23
7º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Carolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 2
NCO
43%
26%
31%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
RIC
1 - 3
CAR
39%
26%
36%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 1
GTR
41%
25%
33%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2023 |
RIC
2 - 2
CAR
43%
26%
32%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
TOR
2 - 3
CAR
49%
24%
27%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Fuego FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
RIC
3 - 3
CVF
62%
21%
17%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
CVF
4 - 4
FMA
31%
26%
43%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
CVF
1 - 2
CHA
23%
24%
52%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
LSC
3 - 2
CVF
15%
21%
64%
|
46 | 23 | 23 | -2 |
| 10 Aug. 2023 |
TOR
2 - 1
CVF
61%
21%
17%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |