North Carolina vs Fuego FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
34%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Carolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 1
FMA
30%
25%
45%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 3
RIC
36%
25%
39%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
TOR
2 - 1
CAR
56%
23%
22%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
CRW
2 - 1
CAR
61%
21%
18%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 1
OMA
25%
24%
50%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Fuego FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
CVF
0 - 1
OMA
27%
26%
47%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2022 |
CVF
0 - 1
CRW
43%
26%
30%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
CHA
4 - 0
CVF
52%
23%
25%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
CVF
3 - 1
RIC
41%
27%
32%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2022 |
NCO
0 - 1
CVF
49%
25%
27%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |