North Carolina vs Edmonton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
11.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Carolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 0
CAR
38%
27%
35%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 1
ATL
67%
19%
14%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2013 |
RSL
3 - 0
CAR
64%
21%
15%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2013 |
CAR
3 - 2
MIN
65%
20%
15%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
EDM
1 - 1
CAR
26%
27%
46%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Edmonton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2013 |
EDM
3 - 1
MIN
37%
27%
36%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 1
EDM
59%
24%
18%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
EDM
1 - 1
CAR
26%
27%
46%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
ATL
1 - 1
EDM
59%
23%
18%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
EDM
0 - 0
TAM
31%
27%
42%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |