North Carolina vs Edmonton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
13.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Carolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
TAM
0 - 0
CAR
44%
27%
29%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
TAM
3 - 3
CAR
45%
27%
28%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -2 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 2
TAM
61%
22%
17%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
CAR
3 - 1
FOR
62%
21%
17%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 0
TAM
59%
23%
18%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Edmonton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
FOR
1 - 1
EDM
57%
24%
19%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
EDM
2 - 2
FOR
37%
27%
36%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
EDM
0 - 3
TAM
34%
27%
39%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2012 |
EDM
2 - 2
CAR
27%
29%
44%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
MIN
1 - 1
EDM
55%
26%
19%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |