North Carolina vs Charlotte Independence analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
14%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Carolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2018 |
NYO
2 - 2
CAR
50%
23%
27%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2018 |
IND
3 - 2
CAR
47%
25%
28%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
TAM
0 - 2
CAR
34%
27%
40%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 0
CHA
52%
24%
24%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
CAR
2 - 1
PIT
57%
23%
20%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Charlotte Independence
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2018 |
CHA
0 - 3
LOU
19%
24%
57%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
PIT
0 - 0
CHA
53%
24%
23%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2018 |
CHA
0 - 3
PHU
46%
25%
30%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
CHA
1 - 1
PNN
49%
24%
27%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
LOU
4 - 1
CHA
66%
21%
14%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |