North Carolina vs Charlotte Independence analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
13.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Carolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2015 |
FOR
0 - 1
CAR
38%
27%
35%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
CAR
2 - 2
NYC
47%
26%
27%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 0
CAR
50%
26%
25%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 1
TAM
57%
22%
21%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
IND
1 - 1
CAR
37%
28%
35%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Charlotte Independence
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2015 |
CHA
1 - 1
CHA
53%
24%
24%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2015 |
CHA
4 - 1
UPW
82%
13%
5%
|
53 | 7 | 46 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
PNN
2 - 0
CHA
47%
24%
29%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
CHA
3 - 0
RIC
37%
28%
35%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +2 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
CHA
1 - 0
LOU
34%
28%
39%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +1 |