North Carolina vs Carolina Core analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.1%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
12.2%
5.7%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Carolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 1
BLE
52%
24%
24%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
DET
1 - 0
CAR
19%
26%
55%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 1
HAA
77%
15%
8%
|
60 | 40 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 1
TAM
39%
26%
35%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
LOU
3 - 1
CAR
14%
21%
65%
|
61 | 40 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Carolina Core
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2024 |
VGF
1 - 2
CCF
77%
14%
9%
|
13 | 40 | 27 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
NER
2 - 1
CCF
79%
14%
7%
|
13 | 57 | 44 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
AFC
4 - 0
CCF
90%
7%
3%
|
13 | 45 | 32 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
CCF
3 - 2
12%
16%
73%
|
9 | 37 | 28 | +4 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
CLE
1 - 1
CCF
87%
9%
4%
|
8 | 48 | 40 | +1 |