North Carolina vs Birmingham Legion analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
14.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Carolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2020 |
MEM
0 - 1
CAR
25%
25%
50%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2020 |
CAR
1 - 0
BLE
68%
18%
13%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2020 |
TAM
2 - 2
CAR
41%
26%
33%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
CAR
0 - 1
LOU
44%
25%
31%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
CAR
1 - 2
GTR
52%
21%
27%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Birmingham Legion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2020 |
CHA
1 - 1
BLE
46%
25%
30%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2020 |
BLE
1 - 0
AFC
56%
23%
22%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2020 |
BLE
4 - 1
CHA
36%
27%
37%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2020 |
CAR
1 - 0
BLE
68%
18%
13%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2020 |
BLE
1 - 1
TAM
27%
26%
46%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |