North Carolina vs Birmingham Legion analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.5%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
10.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Carolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 0
LOU
65%
20%
15%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
NSC
2 - 0
CAR
49%
27%
25%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
CAR
2 - 0
NYO
47%
23%
30%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
CAR
3 - 1
OTT
61%
21%
18%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
CHA
2 - 1
CAR
32%
27%
41%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Birmingham Legion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
BLE
0 - 1
PIT
19%
25%
56%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2019 |
BLE
2 - 1
NYO
19%
22%
59%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | +2 |
| 10 Oct. 2019 |
HAA
4 - 0
BLE
35%
24%
41%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -2 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
BLE
0 - 0
CHA
35%
27%
38%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2019 |
SPK
3 - 1
BLE
30%
24%
46%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | -2 |