North Carolina vs Atlanta Silverbacks analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.9%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
11%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
16%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16%
8.2%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Carolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
MIN
0 - 0
CAR
35%
28%
37%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
CAR
4 - 3
MIN
59%
23%
18%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
MIN
1 - 0
CAR
30%
28%
42%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 2
MIN
65%
21%
14%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | -2 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
PRI
1 - 0
CAR
39%
27%
34%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Atlanta Silverbacks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
ATL
0 - 0
SAN
39%
26%
35%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
ATL
0 - 4
MON
25%
26%
49%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
FOR
1 - 1
ATL
62%
21%
16%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
MIN
2 - 0
ATL
58%
23%
19%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2011 |
EDM
2 - 1
ATL
61%
22%
17%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |