Carmelita vs UCR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
31.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carmelita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
LDA
2 - 3
ADC
63%
21%
16%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
ADC
2 - 1
LFC
35%
26%
39%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 1
ADC
46%
26%
28%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
ADC
1 - 1
CSC
42%
27%
31%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2018 |
LDA
4 - 2
ADC
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
UCR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
UNI
2 - 1
SAN
44%
27%
29%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
UNI
0 - 4
SAP
33%
27%
40%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
UNI
3 - 1
GRE
45%
26%
29%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
CSH
4 - 0
UNI
53%
24%
23%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
GRE
0 - 3
UNI
47%
25%
28%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +2 |