Carmelita vs UCR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
38%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carmelita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 1
ADC
48%
26%
26%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
ADC
1 - 0
CSU
44%
26%
30%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
ADC
0 - 0
BEL
36%
27%
37%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2016 |
LFC
1 - 4
ADC
52%
25%
23%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
ADC
1 - 0
MUN
46%
26%
28%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
UCR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
CSU
0 - 1
UNI
32%
27%
42%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
UNI
2 - 1
LDA
31%
28%
40%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
CSC
2 - 1
UNI
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 2
SAP
32%
28%
41%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
PER
2 - 0
UNI
46%
24%
30%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |