Carmelita vs UCR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
30.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carmelita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2015 |
ADC
2 - 0
CSC
37%
28%
35%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
CSH
2 - 1
ADC
64%
21%
15%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
ADC
0 - 3
PER
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
BEL
5 - 0
ADC
38%
26%
36%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
ADC
1 - 3
CSU
54%
25%
21%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
UCR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
UNI
0 - 1
SAN
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
CSC
1 - 1
UNI
44%
28%
29%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
UNI
4 - 2
LFC
57%
25%
18%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
CSH
3 - 2
UNI
59%
23%
19%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 1
JFC
61%
23%
16%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | -1 |