Carmelita vs Santos de Guápiles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
27%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carmelita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
CSC
3 - 2
ADC
49%
25%
26%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
ADC
2 - 2
SAP
29%
26%
45%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2018 |
ADC
1 - 1
PER
37%
27%
36%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
ADC
3 - 0
GUA
45%
27%
29%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2018 |
CSH
2 - 0
ADC
61%
22%
18%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Santos de Guápiles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 0
SAP
26%
26%
48%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
GRE
1 - 1
SAN
41%
26%
33%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2018 |
SAN
3 - 0
CSC
40%
28%
32%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 2
SAN
44%
26%
30%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 0
PER
33%
27%
40%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |