Carmelita vs Municipal Liberia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
27.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carmelita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2016 |
LDA
3 - 0
ADC
72%
18%
10%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
ADC
2 - 4
UNI
32%
27%
42%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
CSC
2 - 3
ADC
65%
22%
13%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
ADC
1 - 3
SAP
16%
24%
60%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | +2 |
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
PER
1 - 2
ADC
65%
20%
15%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Municipal Liberia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
MUN
3 - 0
SAN
36%
25%
39%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
BEL
1 - 0
MUN
61%
22%
17%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
MUN
1 - 0
LFC
42%
26%
33%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
MUN
0 - 2
CSU
45%
25%
30%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2016 |
LDA
4 - 0
MUN
73%
18%
9%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | -2 |