Carmelita vs Inter San Carlos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
15.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carmelita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
MUN
1 - 0
ADC
38%
27%
35%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2022 |
ADC
3 - 2
EBC
72%
17%
11%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
JFC
2 - 3
ADC
29%
26%
46%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2022 |
ESC
2 - 1
ADC
23%
26%
51%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
ADC
3 - 3
PFC
44%
26%
30%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Inter San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
MRP
1 - 2
PFC
29%
27%
44%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
COF
1 - 2
MRP
47%
23%
30%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2022 |
MUN
2 - 0
MRP
50%
25%
25%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
MRP
0 - 6
ESC
56%
22%
23%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2022 |
MRP
1 - 0
COF
58%
22%
21%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |