Carmelita vs Limón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
19.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carmelita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
BEL
1 - 3
ADC
49%
25%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
UNI
0 - 0
ADC
42%
26%
33%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
ADC
2 - 0
PER
42%
26%
33%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2013 |
SAP
3 - 1
ADC
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
ADC
0 - 1
CSC
38%
27%
35%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Limón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
LFC
1 - 2
UNI
49%
25%
26%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2013 |
CSC
2 - 0
LFC
62%
23%
15%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
PER
3 - 1
LFC
58%
23%
20%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
LFC
1 - 2
SAP
28%
26%
46%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
LFC
2 - 2
LDA
26%
26%
48%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | +1 |