Carmelita vs Limón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
34.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carmelita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
GRE
2 - 2
ADC
39%
25%
36%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
BAR
0 - 1
ADC
43%
25%
32%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
ADC
5 - 1
ASE
72%
17%
11%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
ADC
1 - 1
CSU
46%
24%
30%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
ADC
5 - 0
CAR
65%
19%
15%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Limón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2012 |
LFC
1 - 0
CSC
24%
26%
50%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2012 |
BEL
7 - 0
LFC
66%
20%
14%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2012 |
LFC
0 - 2
LDA
24%
25%
51%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
PER
1 - 0
LFC
72%
18%
11%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
LFC
0 - 1
SAN
36%
28%
36%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | -1 |