Carmelita vs CS Herediano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
46.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carmelita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
SAN
4 - 0
ADC
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
PFC
1 - 1
ADC
48%
25%
27%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2013 |
ADC
1 - 1
CSU
49%
25%
26%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2013 |
LFC
1 - 2
ADC
41%
26%
33%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
ADC
1 - 1
BEL
54%
24%
22%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
CS Herediano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2013 |
PER
2 - 3
CSH
34%
25%
41%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
CSH
4 - 1
LFC
72%
18%
11%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
CSH
4 - 1
UNI
69%
19%
12%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
CSH
3 - 0
SAP
51%
24%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2013 |
CSH
2 - 0
LDA
49%
24%
28%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |