Carmelita vs Guadalupe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
36.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carmelita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2019 |
ADC
0 - 1
GRE
34%
26%
40%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
CSH
1 - 0
ADC
63%
21%
16%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
ADC
2 - 0
LFC
31%
26%
44%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +2 |
| 21 Jan. 2019 |
SAN
2 - 0
ADC
44%
26%
30%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2019 |
SAP
4 - 1
ADC
71%
18%
12%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Guadalupe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2019 |
GUA
1 - 1
LFC
45%
26%
29%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
CSC
2 - 3
GUA
65%
21%
15%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2019 |
GUA
2 - 0
SAN
48%
26%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
SAP
1 - 3
GUA
77%
16%
8%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2019 |
SAN
0 - 0
GUA
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |