Carmelita vs Municipal Grecia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
40%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carmelita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
CSH
1 - 0
ADC
63%
21%
16%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
ADC
2 - 0
LFC
31%
26%
44%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +2 |
| 21 Jan. 2019 |
SAN
2 - 0
ADC
44%
26%
30%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2019 |
SAP
4 - 1
ADC
71%
18%
12%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
PER
2 - 1
ADC
66%
19%
14%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Municipal Grecia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
GRE
2 - 1
SAN
40%
26%
34%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
GRE
2 - 0
UNI
52%
24%
24%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
PER
2 - 2
GRE
63%
20%
17%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2019 |
CSH
2 - 3
GRE
61%
22%
18%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
GRE
0 - 1
CSC
36%
27%
37%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |