Carmelita vs San José FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
26.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carmelita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
ADC
3 - 1
MSR
54%
23%
23%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2020 |
SPO
2 - 1
ADC
53%
24%
23%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2020 |
ADC
0 - 0
SPO
44%
25%
31%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
STR
1 - 1
ADC
25%
26%
49%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
ADC
2 - 1
MUN
63%
20%
17%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
San José FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2020 |
SPO
1 - 0
ESC
49%
24%
27%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2020 |
ESC
1 - 1
SPO
41%
27%
32%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2020 |
SPO
1 - 2
ESC
52%
24%
25%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2020 |
ESC
2 - 1
SPO
34%
28%
38%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2020 |
ESC
1 - 1
JAC
48%
26%
27%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |