Carmelita vs Deportivo Saprissa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
35.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carmelita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2015 |
JFC
4 - 1
ADC
26%
27%
47%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2015 |
LDA
0 - 1
ADC
62%
22%
16%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
ADC
1 - 0
UNI
43%
27%
30%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2015 |
ADC
2 - 0
CSC
37%
28%
35%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
CSH
2 - 1
ADC
64%
21%
15%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Saprissa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2015 |
SAP
1 - 2
CSH
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
SAP
2 - 1
UNI
60%
22%
18%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2015 |
CSC
1 - 1
SAP
38%
28%
34%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -3 |
| 16 Apr. 2015 |
SAP
4 - 1
CSU
64%
21%
15%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2015 |
SAP
1 - 1
LDA
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |