Carmelita vs Deportivo Saprissa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
41.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carmelita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2014 |
CSC
2 - 1
ADC
51%
26%
23%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
ADC
1 - 2
LDA
33%
27%
40%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
ADC
2 - 2
CSH
28%
25%
46%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
SAN
4 - 0
ADC
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
PFC
1 - 1
ADC
48%
25%
27%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Saprissa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2014 |
SAP
1 - 0
UNI
65%
21%
14%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
SAP
1 - 2
PER
62%
22%
16%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2013 |
LDA
1 - 0
SAP
42%
26%
32%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
SAP
1 - 0
LDA
44%
25%
31%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
SAP
1 - 1
CSC
54%
25%
21%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |