Carmelita vs Deportivo Saprissa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.8%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
56.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
+42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carmelita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
ADC
1 - 1
JAC
61%
20%
19%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2013 |
JAC
1 - 2
ADC
39%
24%
37%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
LDA
1 - 2
ADC
68%
19%
12%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | +2 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
ADC
1 - 1
LDA
24%
23%
53%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2013 |
ADC
2 - 2
BEL
42%
25%
34%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Saprissa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2013 |
SAP
0 - 0
CSC
56%
24%
21%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2013 |
CSC
1 - 1
SAP
37%
25%
38%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2013 |
SAP
2 - 1
CSU
62%
22%
16%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
CSU
1 - 4
SAP
36%
24%
40%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2013 |
SAP
3 - 0
GUA
70%
18%
11%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | +1 |