Carmelita vs Deportivo Saprissa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
55.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carmelita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 1
ADC
53%
25%
22%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
ADC
3 - 5
CSH
24%
26%
50%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
BEL
4 - 1
ADC
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
PER
3 - 1
ADC
67%
20%
13%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2013 |
ADC
1 - 0
LFC
48%
25%
27%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Saprissa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2013 |
SAP
4 - 0
PER
49%
26%
25%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2013 |
LFC
2 - 0
SAP
21%
24%
55%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2013 |
SAP
1 - 0
LDA
44%
26%
30%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2013 |
CSC
1 - 3
SAP
40%
26%
34%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2013 |
SAP
2 - 3
PFC
65%
21%
13%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |