Carmelita vs Deportivo Saprissa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11%
22%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
62.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carmelita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
CSC
1 - 2
ADC
76%
17%
8%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
ADC
0 - 1
PFC
27%
26%
48%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2012 |
CSH
0 - 0
ADC
81%
13%
6%
|
53 | 74 | 21 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2012 |
CSU
0 - 1
ADC
58%
22%
20%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
PER
6 - 0
ADC
76%
16%
8%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Saprissa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
SAP
2 - 2
LDA
43%
26%
31%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2012 |
SAP
2 - 0
CSC
49%
26%
25%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
PFC
0 - 0
SAP
33%
25%
43%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2012 |
SAP
2 - 1
CSH
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
SAP
0 - 0
ATM
13%
22%
65%
|
74 | 90 | 16 | 0 |