Carmelita vs Belén Siglo XXI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
20.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carmelita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2015 |
LFC
1 - 0
ADC
42%
27%
31%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
ADC
1 - 0
MUN
60%
23%
17%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2015 |
LDA
3 - 0
ADC
60%
23%
17%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
ADC
1 - 0
UNI
53%
24%
23%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
CSC
1 - 1
ADC
53%
26%
22%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Belén Siglo XXI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2015 |
BEL
5 - 1
SAN
31%
26%
44%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2015 |
BEL
1 - 1
CSU
35%
26%
39%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
LFC
4 - 1
BEL
54%
24%
22%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2015 |
BEL
1 - 1
MUN
59%
23%
19%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2015 |
LDA
0 - 0
BEL
73%
18%
9%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | +1 |