Carmelita vs LD Alajuelense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
55.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carmelita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
CSC
2 - 1
ADC
72%
18%
11%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2019 |
LFC
2 - 0
ADC
59%
22%
19%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
ADC
1 - 1
UNI
39%
26%
35%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2019 |
GUA
1 - 1
ADC
55%
24%
21%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
GRE
1 - 1
ADC
63%
21%
16%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
LD Alajuelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
LDA
1 - 1
SAP
45%
25%
30%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2019 |
LDA
1 - 0
GRE
59%
22%
19%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2019 |
PER
2 - 4
LDA
52%
24%
24%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2019 |
CSH
2 - 0
LDA
44%
26%
31%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
LDA
1 - 0
LFC
63%
20%
16%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | +1 |