Carmelita vs LD Alajuelense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
43.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carmelita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
MUN
2 - 1
ADC
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
ADC
1 - 1
CSC
28%
28%
43%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
PER
3 - 1
ADC
63%
21%
16%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
ADC
1 - 2
UNI
37%
26%
36%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
SAP
4 - 2
ADC
60%
23%
18%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
LD Alajuelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
LDA
2 - 0
SAP
45%
26%
29%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2017 |
GUA
1 - 1
LDA
39%
29%
32%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
LDA
0 - 1
CSH
42%
27%
30%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2017 |
LDA
0 - 1
OLI
36%
24%
40%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
LDA
2 - 2
SAN
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |