Carmelita vs LD Alajuelense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
35.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carmelita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
MUN
0 - 0
ADC
46%
26%
28%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2017 |
ADC
0 - 1
PER
41%
27%
32%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
LFC
2 - 1
ADC
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2017 |
ADC
2 - 3
SAN
49%
25%
26%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
BEL
1 - 3
ADC
52%
25%
24%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
LD Alajuelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
SAP
2 - 1
LDA
59%
22%
18%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2017 |
BEL
1 - 2
LDA
45%
26%
29%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
LDA
2 - 1
CSC
37%
27%
36%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2017 |
PER
1 - 0
LDA
48%
25%
28%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
LDA
0 - 2
CSH
44%
27%
29%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |