Carmelita vs LD Alajuelense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.3%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
43%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carmelita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
UNI
3 - 2
ADC
52%
25%
23%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
ADC
1 - 1
CSC
24%
27%
48%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2016 |
SAP
4 - 0
ADC
70%
19%
11%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
ADC
1 - 2
PER
43%
27%
31%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2016 |
CSH
3 - 1
ADC
66%
21%
14%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
LD Alajuelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2016 |
LDA
4 - 2
SAN
56%
24%
21%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
BEL
1 - 1
LDA
31%
27%
42%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2016 |
LDA
4 - 0
LFC
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
MUN
1 - 2
LDA
31%
26%
43%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
CSU
1 - 0
LDA
35%
28%
37%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |