Carmelita vs LD Alajuelense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
37.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carmelita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 0
ADC
41%
28%
32%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2015 |
ADC
1 - 2
CSC
38%
28%
35%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
ADC
1 - 1
PER
50%
26%
24%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
ADC
1 - 0
CSH
35%
27%
38%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 1
ADC
51%
25%
24%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
LD Alajuelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2015 |
LDA
2 - 0
SAN
54%
24%
22%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2015 |
MUN
2 - 2
LDA
21%
27%
53%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2015 |
BEL
1 - 5
LDA
28%
28%
44%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
CSU
2 - 0
LDA
35%
28%
37%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2015 |
CSH
3 - 2
LDA
51%
24%
25%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |