Carmelita vs LD Alajuelense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
30.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carmelita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
ADC
3 - 0
BEL
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2015 |
CSU
0 - 0
ADC
30%
28%
42%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
ADC
0 - 1
SAN
56%
23%
20%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
LFC
0 - 3
ADC
36%
27%
37%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
SAP
2 - 1
ADC
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
LD Alajuelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2015 |
LDA
1 - 0
PER
55%
25%
21%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2015 |
BEL
1 - 1
LDA
40%
27%
34%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
LDA
3 - 0
CSU
64%
22%
14%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 2
LDA
36%
28%
36%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2014 |
LDA
1 - 1
SAP
41%
27%
32%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |