Carmelita vs LD Alajuelense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
40.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carmelita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
ADC
2 - 2
CSH
28%
25%
46%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
SAN
4 - 0
ADC
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
PFC
1 - 1
ADC
48%
25%
27%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2013 |
ADC
1 - 1
CSU
49%
25%
26%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2013 |
LFC
1 - 2
ADC
41%
26%
33%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
LD Alajuelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2013 |
CSH
0 - 0
LDA
55%
23%
22%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2013 |
LDA
0 - 0
CSH
39%
26%
35%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2013 |
LDA
1 - 0
SAP
42%
26%
32%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
SAP
1 - 0
LDA
44%
25%
31%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
PER
0 - 4
LDA
37%
26%
38%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |