Carmelita vs LD Alajuelense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
55.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carmelita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
CSC
2 - 0
ADC
69%
20%
12%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2013 |
ADC
1 - 1
PFC
39%
26%
36%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
CSU
2 - 1
ADC
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
ADC
2 - 5
SAN
31%
26%
43%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 2
ADC
67%
20%
13%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
LD Alajuelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2013 |
LFC
1 - 0
LDA
27%
26%
47%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
LDA
0 - 0
BEL
55%
25%
20%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
LDA
1 - 1
CSH
50%
26%
24%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2012 |
CSH
1 - 2
LDA
47%
25%
29%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2012 |
LDA
0 - 0
LFC
66%
21%
13%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |