Carmelita vs LD Alajuelense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
58.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carmelita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2012 |
ADC
1 - 1
SAP
16%
22%
62%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
CSC
1 - 2
ADC
76%
17%
8%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
ADC
0 - 1
PFC
27%
26%
48%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2012 |
CSH
0 - 0
ADC
81%
13%
6%
|
53 | 74 | 21 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2012 |
CSU
0 - 1
ADC
58%
22%
20%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
LD Alajuelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
EST
0 - 1
LDA
32%
25%
44%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
SAP
2 - 2
LDA
43%
26%
31%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2012 |
LDA
2 - 2
TIG
36%
29%
35%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
PER
0 - 1
LDA
38%
26%
36%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
LDA
0 - 0
LFC
73%
18%
9%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |